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	<title>Thought Imports &#187; The Economy</title>
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		<title>Economic Environment Dynamics</title>
		<link>http://thoughtimports.com/economic-environment-dynamics/60/</link>
		<comments>http://thoughtimports.com/economic-environment-dynamics/60/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 17:21:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tony</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[speculators in commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TARP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[world economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://thoughtimports.com/?p=60</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Something must be done to limit the influence of speculators on important commodities, like oil and corn, to name only two.  The influences of normal supply and demand would not have caused the wildly absurd &#8220;upswing&#8221; in oil, from around $20/bbl, to a seven-fold $127 higher.  Corn was going up, as using ethanol as fuel [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Something must be done to limit the influence of speculators on important commodities, like oil and corn, to name only two.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>The influences of normal supply and demand would not have caused the wildly absurd &#8220;upswing&#8221; in oil, from around $20/bbl, to a seven-fold $127 higher.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Corn was going up, as using ethanol as fuel increased in popularity, but then corn initiated a hike in grocery prices that has &#8220;stuck&#8221;, and added to the inflation initially caused by oil and the minimum wage increase.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none;"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">As you know, oil was priced in the $20&#8242;s for a long time, then in 2003 started moving upward out of that range fairly quickly to the $40&#8242;s, double its normal range, by &#8217;04.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Oil prices then made their way up to vacillate in the $70&#8242;s by Sept 07.  Oil&#8217;s price doubled again in less than a year!<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>In my view, it helped to promote and intensify an economic-damage domino effect from losses created by unethical lending on a massive scale to obviously unqualified and/or speculative house-buyers.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>This economic-damage domino effect also dealt a punishing blow to the world economy and shook the world&#8217;s confidence in </span><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">America</span><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;"> as a disciplined world market leader.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">An interesting anecdote is that oil/gasoline prices have spiked downward while heading into the Christmas buying season, in ’03, ’04, ’05 and ‘06. The exception was ‘07, as oil moved from $60/bbl to nearly $100/bbl, while gasoline prices also increased.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>This year alone, from July to the last part of November, oil prices have gone down as much as $100/bbl!<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Here is an often-used link that provides graphing for up to six years of fuel price history in </span><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Chicago</span><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">, but potentially any locale:</span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;"><a href="http://www.chicagogasprices.com/retail_price_chart.aspx">http://www.chicagogasprices.com/retail_price_chart.aspx</a></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">So, it is clear that speculators have helped drain the economy as the prices went up, and the profits from $147/bbl oil as prices fell.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>This is rather disconcerting, since no one seems to be able to quite pin down who these people are, or how they could have been allowed to make such a mockery of free markets, especially </span><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">America</span><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">&#8216;s.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Now, oil&#8217;s price (per barrel) is somehow returning to around twice its inflation-adjusted $20-30 range!<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Measures must be taken to reign in commodity speculators and whomever their helpers are, before they sap the world economy again.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>And drilling vast American fuel resources must take place soon, to further </span><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">America</span><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">&#8216;s independence and economic stability.</span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">We need leaders with the guts to at least expose the reasons why speculators were allowed to drain the world economy with impunity.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>We need leaders who will focus their energies on changing the laws allowing unethical lending to the unqualified, and unethical commodity manipulation, that really amount to price-gouging, which most people see as just another type of theft.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Now that everyone under the sun wants part of the TARP, who is going to make certain it is held in trust for only mortgage-backed securities? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Who will put their collective foot down to use Americans’ every tax dollar for their original intended use alone? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>After all, it’s our money, not the governments’.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Another major question remains:<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Whatever happened to Chapters 11 and 13 for bankrupt companies?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>The airlines have repeatedly reorganized, and we all know how crucial they are to the economy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Why can&#8217;t &#8220;the big three&#8221; reorganize, just like the airlines did, even while fuel prices kept rising far beyond any reason?</span></p>
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